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二 |     A powerful Monday morning earthquake has killed at least 111 and injured 87 in the west part of Colombia.         Colombia's President Abelardo de la Espriella, who came to office just three days before the earthquake, declared a state of emergency to expedite funding for the quake recovery with a plan to visit the disaster zone.    "I am at the forefront of the situation. It pains me deeply what the families and affected regions are going through," he posted on X.    According to information provided by Colombian officials by mid-afternoon, the destruction included 1,575 damaged homes, 37 homes completely destroyed, 61 collapsed buildings, scores of damaged centers of health, education and community, as well as 18 damaged roads and six airports.    Airports in Pereira, Manizales, Quibdo, Armenia, Cartago and Buenaventura suffered structural damage, and their flight operations were suspended, according to Colombia's Civil Aviation Authority.    The tremor was felt in Colombia's capital Bogota, which is about 400 kilometers from the epicenter, setting off alarms that prompted people to evacuate many buildings as a precaution.    "At this time there are no reports of injuries or structural damage, only some cracks in buildings," Bogota Mayor Carlos Galan posted on X.    The earthquake damaged the region's major cities including Pereira, Quibdo, Manizales and Cali.    Nubia Carolina Cordoba-Curi, governor of the Choco region, posted on X on Monday morning that "in the capital Quibdo there are injuries and severe damage to buildings".    She posted an update at 2 pm that 12 people were confirmed dead and 84 injured in Choco.    Other local authorities reported at least 40 deaths in the Risaralda region and 27 deaths in the Valle del Cauca region.    Rescue efforts to save people buried under the debris is ongoing.    According to the Colombia Geological Service, the earthquake epicenter was in San Jose del Palmar, Choco. It had a magnitude of 7.4 and a depth of approximately 103 km, making it the strongest earthquake recorded in Colombia in the last decade.    The earthquake was felt by neighboring countries Venezuela, Ecuador and Panama. It was followed by several aftershocks with magnitudes between 2.8 and 4.8, according to the agency.    The agency said that it's common for this region to experience earthquakes of considerable magnitudes due to activities associated with the subduction of the Nazca Plate beneath the South American Plate.    Near the end of June, Venezuela was struck by two earthquakes — with magnitudes of 7.2 and 7.5 — that were only 39 seconds apart. More than 6,000 people were killed, and tens of thousands of people remain missing under the debris.                    。然而，随着最坏情况的避免，人们的视线开始投向更远的未来。拜登政府目前正计划在未来十年内建立一个可能耗资数千亿美元的乌克兰武装部队，国家安全顾问杰克·沙利文则建议乌克兰于2025年再次发起反攻。

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八 | 鉴于俄罗斯具备重建其军事力量的能力，西方是否能够在这方面取得成功还是一个未知数。

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十二 | 从支援车辆到坦克，从火箭炮到ATACMS远程导弹系统，每当白宫批准了某一种武器系统，就会立即出现对下一种武器系统供应的压力，这种趋势在欧洲也有所体现。

十三 | 但随着冲突进入第三年，技术天花板已经对这种趋势设置了上限。在许多领域，现在已经不存在可供援助的“下一类系统”了。

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十五 | 这些均是明显的冲突升级的建议，这些言论放在六个月前都是难以想象的。

十六 | 而作为回应，本周一，俄罗斯引用了英国和法国的这些声明，并宣布将举行军事演习，模拟在战场上使用战术核武器的场景。

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十八 | 俄罗斯可能会将此视为西方进一步介入的信号，并据此将冲突进一步升级。

十九 | 越南战争的经验已证明，军事顾问往往是全面作战的起点，这应被视为一个警示。

| 直至目前，拜登政府对于推动乌克兰与俄罗斯进行谈判持谨慎态度，担心这可能被看作是美国对乌支持力度减弱的信号。此外，谈判的进程可能会很慢，俄罗斯可能还不准备认真参与谈判，然而，这种假设尚未得到验证，尝试谈判绝对值得一试，特别是考虑到，如果不停地向基辅提供武器，同时把决策权交给基辅，可能会无意中阻碍和平谈判的进程。在与对方开展对话前，任何一方都无法真正评估自己能够获得什么，而最近披露的基辅与莫斯科之间的谈判情况表明，和解并非不可能实现。

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| 但欧洲国家还可以做得更多，例如增加对弹药和火箭的国家资金支持，授权使用紧急资金，通过欧盟改进跨国防务采购，以及承担协调援助的重任。